Flight path of a plane that took off from Damascus shorty after news broke that Assad left the city towards unknown destination, which might have been Latakia on Syrian coast which is still under SAA control as of now. Terrain in place where flightradar stopped tracking that plane isn’t especially suited for emergency landing
Shortly after crash Syrian Army Command informs officers about fall of the regime https://xcancel.com/Alhadath_Brk/status/1865587913817305454#m
update: it’s not spoofed transponder data or controlled landing, locals reported plane crash in the area. rumors so far, but dawn will break soon in Syria and we’ll know https://xcancel.com/Schizointel/status/1865593800678130081#m
clarification: there’s some chance that Assad went out of Damascus before on other, private jet, so it’s not sure and it’s all conjecture on unproven information
update 2: there’s a claim by Russian media that Assad is in Moscow, so he would have to flee on some earlier plane, but no photos as of now. Still, looked mildly credible at the time
BBC article mentioning this flight. A tweet from FR24 says that the aircraft “was old with an older transponder generation, so some data might be bad or missing”, that it was “flying in an area of GPS jamming, so some data might be bad”, and that there was not aware of any airports in the area where the signal was lost.
this is the kind of superpower that chronic insomnia gets you
join our matrix channel for more noncredible news
Today is a day of victory for chins everywhere
Can we speed run the Russsian collapse as well?
It’s going to shit me if Putin falls on the 22nd Jan so the orange boofhead can claim the credit.
My conspiracy theory is that Trump will “Talk tough” to Putin and “tell him” to back off and take only “minor” concessions to end the war. He gets to claim that he ended it, look how strong and diplomatic he can be. Putin will spin it differently back home, nobody will buy it but nobody will care because the sanctions will be lifted and money will start flowing.
The Ukraine wont get NATO admission, the US will block it but they will be a whole lot better off than if Trump just removed all US support and the bombing will stop so they wont like it, but the alternative is losing the whole country.
Would he claim credit, or announce a day off mourning?
Probably both he usually takes both sides on every issue at some point.
At least the balkanisation and collapse of Russia will be a simple thing for such a stable genius to manage.
Holy shit! The Russians shot him out of the sky??
that would be pretty stupid so it’s definitely an option
we can guess that 1. assad was on that plane, and 2. it did something that looked like a bad malfunction and 3. there are rumors of plane crash in the area. maybe it was some stupid reason like mechanical malfunction, or maybe friendly fire from russian S300 at Tartus, or maybe unfriendly fire from whatever SAM HTS now has. or something else
Or ground crew sabotage.
Yeah, Assad has killed a lot of his own people even without getting into Islamist stuff.
Unlikely but not impossible IMO.
If you want revenge so much you take out a whole plane, you’d done it earlier. But again, maybe there was a lot of panic so surveillance was not that good, and feeling the imminent collaps could have pushed someone over the limit. But I wonder what one man can do in a situation like that.
So very unlikely until more information I guess.
The plane flew over opposition control territory in Homs, and then it started losing altitude very fast. I think the Russians didn’t have the chance of doing anything funny this time.
Nooooooo you can’t break credible news on NCD!!1!!! 😭
NCD: Haha Illusion-76 go brrrrrrr (crash)
not a great year for them
I watched that live. The video from the airport a few minutes before was surreal.
i watched it on flightradar, link?
https://www.flightradar24.com/SYR9218/3844aec1
Sorry I don’t remember the original source but here’s the video. https://files.catbox.moe/2n2y9q.mp4
I don’t understand the language, what the recording person is saying?
I have no idea. It was titled something like “rebels take over Damascus airport”. Then I went on flight radar and saw the airplane taking off with no destination set.
I can’t verify how “real” it is other than I saw it on social media right before that airplane took off and saved it. Everything today moved pretty quickly.
Personally I don’t think Assad was on that flight.
well not that many planes taking off from there. either it was this one, previous one, or he’s still in Damascus
I think he left Damascus before homs fell.
The military didn’t really seem like they wanted to fight for a dictator that already abdicated his throne.
I think we just get to wait and see. 🙈
According to Israeli intelligence this was not the case. We’ll know either way very very soon
I’m an Arabic speaker and I have no idea; it’s too lacking in context to understand what he’s talking about. He keeps saying “look at this machine”, then starts walking and says “look at these people. We said the airport was friendly and no one believed us”. There are also a few interjections that don’t carry much meaning, but that’s the gist of it.
Thank you
Link plz this is crazy
Holy fuck lol. I sorta called it.
well it still could have been friendly fire
I didn’t say that it would be insurgent fire.
Just that Weak Chin MaGee would be shot down.
One of the rare cases where I hear of a death and check wikipedia to still see the word “is”. I wonder how long confirmation will take.
There may be no changes on the article yet, but there’s a lot of ongoing discussion at the Discussion page of the article:
German Wikipedia already has past tense and a small paragraph about Assad leaving the country for an unknown location.
Is it sourced properly? Because killing people on wikipedia without sources isn’t helping wikipedia’s credibility.
At least the current version of the article uses past tense when referring to his presidency but doesn’t claim he’s dead.
There’s no evidence this was Assad (and the flight path directly over Homs instead of e.g. into Iraq makes it implausible), but it seems like it was almost definitely a plane crash.
i understand that he tried to get to Latakia, which is beyond mountain range and still SAA held at that time
Dawn just broke in Syria so we’ll know today
Removed by mod
Yes, these are very credible desires that will happen!
You know when NCD has actual writeups and citations shit is getting real. Getting Wagner coup vibes, what a time to be alive where we can glimpse into the sausage of geopolitics being made in real time.
Idk, it feels a little too credible for me…
Honestly guys, it’s not the first time I got breaking world news from this community and I am disappointed, I thought this was non-credible?
n in ncd stands for news
The funniest part is it may be days before news starts reporting he was probably on this plane. They’ll want to wait for some sort of confirmation, which probably doesn’t exist.
Yes, but to be truly non-credible, one must first poses great knowledge and insight.
“It takes a wise man to be truly stupid”- Sun Tzu
yeah this also
he was done either way as damascus was handed over few hours ago
Yea, it’s amazing how fas this can go down. Been F5ing Live UA map every few hours the last few days and almost every time there were notable changes.
This also cements Russia’s loss of their only notable Mediterranean port.
port and airbase now. and SAM site if it ends up being the cause
that would be dumbest and highest profile friendly fire ever. are we sure that Girkin wasn’t exiled to Syria?
