But if you do it per country things would look different. The US would have the highest percentage of people from all around the planet while all the other countries would have like 0.0001% from other places. I just made that number up, but yeah, you won’t find diversity as you find it here in the USA… Let’s cherish that, let’s keep our melting pot alive and well!
The US isn’t even in the top 20 of proportion of people living there born abroad. They do however have the highest total number of immigrants.
New Zealand’s gone missing again, I’m assuming it’s lumped in with Australia.
No it means there is zero percent chance of New Zealand
NaN
Not a Newzealand
It’s crazy they did include a bit of Russia near Alaska and also bothered to add the Galapagos (where nobody lives) but omitted NZ
New Zealand is in stealth mode. We keep it off the maps so trump doesn’t know it exists and leaves it alone
Remember everyone: 100.00% does not mean all, and 0.00% does not mean none, just like 50.00% does not mean exactly half. They all are accurate to 0.005% points.
So there’s a chance I’ll be born in Antarctica?
IIRC Argentina facilitated a few births on the outlying islands to make a point. Usually kids are avoided in such a harsh and precarious place, though.
Yes, though then we’ll have to test your blood to make sure.
You, no. Some other guy, maybe.
Or girl
Or enby.
Small chance you still might, I’ll cross my fingers for you
thanks! I’m working on it
With all the scientists and cruises that tour around Antarctica, I am not convinced that the chances of being born there are a flat 0. It might be less than 1% but no way it’s 0.
At least 11 babies have been born in Antarctica.
0.0000001375%!
(This is based solely on roughly how many people exist, not birth rates, because I ain’t doing the real math for what is ultimately a rounding error)
Y’all probably already knew about the Valeriepieris circle, I guess.
I did, but now I also know about Danny Quah’s 2015 circle :)
I’m not so sure I would trust any statistics from a map that’s missing New Zealand.
hawaians are also mourning the loss
No chance of being born in New Zealand I see
It’s more proof it doesn’t exist.
Or Hawaii.
It would be nice if there were a year attached to this. Is this supposed to be based on the current day? Or was this map put together several years ago?
There should at least be a decade listed, as birth trends today aren’t going to be identical to trends from the recent past. For example, China only ended their “one child policy” in 2016. If this map were made before that, it might need an update by now.
What time frame does this represent?
Births in 2025 might be majority subsaharan Africa.
Underrated comment. Given that African population is rocketing towards a projected 2 billion, while Asian birthrates are dropping thru the floor (even India is now only at replacement), the data from this map must be out of date.
It might be just a map of present population. So, births in the last 85 years, roughly, although migration would noticeable source of error without adjustment for regions like North America.
It might be just a map of present population.
Yes, there is approximately 100% chance that that is what it is. But let’s not allow that detail to spoil the fun.
It would be really interesting to see chances of being born across all time. Like what is the probability of being born here and now vs. somewhere else in the past or the future.
You would have to make some predictions based on population growth and maybe model a few different possible apocalypses (average species lifetime/meteor probabilities/nuclear doomsday/climate disaster etc.) but it would be a fun model to play with.
If you limit it to births to date, it’s going to be mostly Africa again, for a different reason. If you were to stick to a few millenniums back it could be interesting, I guess, because agricultural regions will dominate. I would suspect data for the late Paleolithic isn’t known with any certainty.
Past a century into the future, it becomes basically all assumptions. Humans are a very prosperous species and it seems likely we’ll have descendants on Earth for hundreds of millions of years. Even if we manage to destroy civilisation, any group of survivors could be back up and building cities in a geological instant.
If things stay progressive and prosperous, the natural birth rates are going to collapse because people just don’t bother to reproduce. Are we going to do Brave New World baby factories? If we do, population becomes a matter of policy. Unless people migrate far more than today, which doesn’t seem impossible, in which case you have to make assumptions about where they’ll want to go.
Idk about that. Some social science people say that due to lack of surface deposits, it becomes much harder to restart civilization again.
Yeah, population sizes overall would have been much smaller in the past, so paleolithic times would probably be comparitively insignificant (even 2000 years ago the entire population was less than 200 million and now it’s 8 billion more than that).
I wonder if you could get a very rough statistical estimate of humanity’s downfall just by assuming that we are somewhere in the middle of history. Like if I was born as a random person, I’m more likely to be born at a time where more people are born than when few people are born. So if you model that and make some assumptions about population growth/decline rates, could you put some numbers on when the last person is likely to be born within a margin of error?
Yeah, population sizes overall would have been much smaller in the past, so paleolithic times would probably be comparitively insignificant (even 2000 years ago the entire population was less than 200 million and now it’s 8 billion more than that).
True, but it was also an unfathomably long time, so IIRC it cancels out. Uhh… nope, I remembered wrong. Per OurWorldInData, pre-agricultural people about equal living people in count, meaning about 15% of the total. I’ll cross that out.
I wonder if you could get a very rough statistical estimate of humanity’s downfall just by assuming that we are somewhere in the middle of history
I feel like I’ve seen this done. Yep, it looks like it was a guy named Richard Gott that first wrote about it in the 90’s with respect to population, while the whole concept is called Lindy’s law.
Humans are a very prosperous species and it seems likely we’ll have descendants on Earth for hundreds of millions of years. Even if we manage to destroy civilisation, any group of survivors could be back up and building cities in a geological instant.
As longs as climate doesn’t change faster than we and our food systems can adapt, scorching heat, unbreathable air and raging storms can end our prosperity in a geological instant too.
It’s so, so far between where we are now and dying.
The Inuit survived with primitive tools, no land prey or edible plants and almost no wood in an environment that’s lethal within minutes without protection. We’d have to somehow be in tougher conditions than that even with our technology. Basically, if there’s still flies or earthworms, there will still be some of us clinging to life somewhere.
At worst, fossil fuel-induced climate change might cause large-scale migration away from the equator, maybe mostly in poor regions. In no scenario is the air unbreathable (and if it were, there are ways to adapt to that as well). It’s not even sure to cause a decline in harvests, because many agricultural regions will benefit from hotter temperatures and CO2 fertilisation.
Other animals and whole biomes will probably be fucked. Our quality of life will be degraded. But, there will still be future generations to judge us.
Do you come from a land of plenty?
Statistically, no.
Holy shit mum, im in the 1%!
Time to retire and enjoy my vast fortune of Tim TamsAlso, your easy access to Bundaberg root beer :(
Thats Ginger beer, root beer has a distinctly different taste (i actually love both though).
Indeed, they make BOTH. If you haven’t tried their root beer, you need to. I can’t drink any other sarsaparilla/sassafras beverage now.
Challenge accepted! Proceeds to breed in Antarctica
Chances of this being the most useless infographic to ayone: 94%
Ok, now make this but per land area.
Can’t believe I used up all my luck for that
Fellow Antarctican?
How can an island be split between two continents?
Same way Russia can be split in two continents I suppose.
Should really define it based on something more concrete like fault lines
True, Europe doesn’t actually exist, just like Oceania. It is all Asia.
It used to be all Africa until the Suez incident
