• Pika@sh.itjust.works
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    13 days ago

    it’s fear mostly. If the democrat candidate changed this late in the run, it significantly lessens the chance that the party will win, and to a lot of them, they see it as a “I can’t vote for trump” type vote. Personally I feel if he drops out now, the party wouldn’t recover in time for election cycle which would basically give trump the win.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      13 days ago

      But that fear is hypothetical, we’ve never tried it.

      We do know what happened to Jimmy Carter and trump. The last two incumbents that ran for elections with approval numbers similar to Biden.

      I just can’t imagine a single person willing to vote Biden but not for any other D nominee.

      So I don’t understand how any replacement can be considered worse than Biden.

      Where are those “only Biden” voters?

      If theryre the same ones that voted against Obama, well, there wasn’t enough to matter back then either.

      • Pika@sh.itjust.works
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        13 days ago

        I more or less agree with that, it’s just I do know there will be people that wanted to vote exclusively Biden who will no longer vote because it wouldn’t be biden. And I believe it’s going to put the Democratic Party in the same situation the Republican party was when Trump originally started running again where it will basically split the party only this time instead of it happening super early in the campaign cycle it will happen super late in the campaign cycle therefore wouldn’t have the time to mend itself. Especially with him sharing similar ideologies with his campaign interests and not dropping

        • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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          13 days ago

          it’s just I do know there will be people that wanted to vote exclusively Biden who will no longer vote because it wouldn’t be biden

          I mean, the DNC isn’t putting a progressive in the race, it’s almost certainly gonna be Kamala if it happens.

          If there are some who will only vote for Biden (I doubt it) I just can’t see them not coalescing around the DNCs pick.

          Even if they do, it’ll be like 08 PUMA where it turned out to be just an incredibly vocal but tiny group