The US government is telling everybody that inflation is 3.4% per year. That is not correct. Try 14.2% and that’s about right. Source : gold/usd 1 year simple moving average.
The US is saying 3.4% because inflation is based on a consumer price index. It’s not a good metric because it doesn’t account for housing, education, healthcare and most other major expenses.
However, gold is an awful metric for the value of the currency. No single product can be a good metric alone. And gold is famously effected by speculation. People buy gold when the future of the currency seems uncertain.
Exactly. People buy gold when the future of the currency seems uncertain. And yet, the simple moving average of gold has risen 7.1% since January 1st of 2024. And so if inflation continues, at the pace it is, then it will be 14.2% by the time December 31st rolls around.
I’ll accept without evidence that real inflation feels a lot higher than 3.4%, but proposing short term shifts in the price of gold, or any other single commodity as a better metric is just nuts.
Well, shadow stats agrees with me. According to the way they measured inflation in the 1980s, we are about 12%. So even if my estimate was wrong, it’s not off by far.
And the way they measured back then included things such as, oh, I don’t know, food and energy, which are two things everybody just happens to need.
Yes, measure the things people need, not gold.
So the government has gotten every university and financial institution on the planet to go along with their ruse? I mean after faking a moon landing that sounds trivial.
Hey, I can play this game, too! The real inflation rate is closer to 150%. Source: Bitcoin was $27k last year, now it’s $67k
My source sucks, but so does yours
