I keep hearing that Ukraine has invaded Russia or is “winning again” or some such.

So what’s the SitRep?

  • JaredLevi@lemmygrad.ml
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    1 month ago

    From what I’ve seen, the Ukrainians launched an attack on Kursk. Lots of civilians have fled. According to the Ukrainian leadership and the west they are pushing deeper with nothing to lose and have regained the spirit of the war. According to Russia they don’t even really seem to care about it. At most they say it will be a detriment to Ukraine.

    • Comprehensive49@lemmygrad.ml
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      1 month ago

      If you watch the most recent show with Scott Ritter, he reports from Russian sources that Russia has already knocked out the Kursk invasion’s logistics, is capturing their equipment, and now just has to kill and capture the leftover Ukrainian stragglers.

      We will see severe Russian retaliation for this, possibly even attacking F16 bases in Poland and Romania in return.

      We can guarantee this is pretty accurate because Ritter has talked with Apti Alaudinov earlier, one of the Russian commanders assigned to clean up the invasion.

      • DankZedong @lemmygrad.ml
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        1 month ago

        Poland and Romania are both NATO members and an attack on them will mean a possibly World War so I doubt Russia will attack them if it doesn’t need to right now.

        • Comprehensive49@lemmygrad.ml
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          1 month ago

          The thing is, it’s an equivalent response to the Ukrainian invasion. NATO has invaded Russia, so Russia has the right to retaliate in kind towards NATO.

          • cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml
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            1 month ago

            Having the right to do something and it actually being the strategically smart thing to do are two different things.

            Ritter is usually mostly correct when he talks about what is currently going on and has a good grasp of the history of this conflict, but his short term predictions tend to be unreliable. This is because he projects his American mentality onto the Russians.

            What we have observed so far in this conflict is that Russia is cautious to a fault and very unwilling to escalate. They are comfortable with the pace that things are progressing at and don’t want to rock the boat. Unpredictable things can happen when you escalate.

            The Kiev regime and its western handlers on the other hand are constantly trying to provoke precisely such an escalation in order to possibly escape the slow but sure trajectory to defeat that they currently find themselves on. Why would Russia give them what they want?

          • DankZedong @lemmygrad.ml
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            1 month ago

            Absolutely. I wouldn’t blame them for doing so though I wonder if Russia would actually risk a major escalation when they inevitably stop this incursion by Ukraine.

            • Comprehensive49@lemmygrad.ml
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              1 month ago

              I just don’t see what Russia loses from doing so anymore. All of NATO is already attacking them, so the only real further escalation is nukes.

              NATO is already sending all its gear to Ukraine, so no new gear will magically appear if Russia starts striking Poland and Romania. In the grand scheme, it would actually make things easier for Russia since they can take out command, control, and repair centers used by Ukraine that they currently allow to exist in NATO countries.

              • cayde6ml@lemmygrad.ml
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                1 month ago

                I agree that Russia is reluctant to a fault and that Russia should do more, and I agree that NATO’s talk of striking against Russia if Russia attacked Poland and Romania is mostly bluster, but as always the U.S. is the major problem/worry. While U.S. would likely be outmatched by Russia, at least in the short term possibly, in the medium-long term, the U.S. would turn even further into a rabid dog to attack Russia and the Global South in general, and we all know that the capitalist media would slander and gaslight Russia for daring to defend themselves, and the corrupt billionaire cracker fucks of the West/Global North would probably mysteriously “find” multiple billions of dollars of loans and stored equipment and diplomatic favors to escalate the conflict, since in the west, money doesn’t matter so much for the ruling class parasites.

    • Franfran2424@lemmygrad.ml
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      1 month ago

      Ukraine is taking heavy losses with its mobile warfare approach, now that Russia reinforcements arrived.

      They took a important town and have the option to threaten a couple more. But they are unlikely to take those and really haven’t done much damage, while they keep losing ground on other fronts.