I will set my expectations pretty low as usual haha, so that I’m at worst satisfied with the outcome, and at best, pleasantly surprised.
So, I’m thinking the ship is not going to make it to splashdown. If Flight 4 is a repeat of Flight 3 minus the tumbling and with the ship going a bit farther into the reentry, then it’s already progress. For the booster, from the SpaceX article they published some time ago, it seems that the issue requires a redesign, and that the fix applied on Booster 11 is only partial. I wouldn’t be surprised if it still RUDs during the landing burn, but who knows?
What I’m more interested about is the flight rate, which is not so great at the moment.
No sure that’s already pretty great. It’s just that given their objectives and their fly-break-fix methodology, they really need to crank up those numbers!
(And also, I’m a bit impatient haha.)