“Shocker”, yeah right. Least surprising appearance ever.

Oh man this is peak venture capitalism crossed with Factorio - valuations are actually cash, and a factory is a black box where you just upload new software and other stuff comes out.

Let’s take your average holder of car manufacturer stock. You’re holding the stock because you believe the car manufacturer will continue making competitive products, and you’ll get either dividends or higher valuations. Then OpenAI pitches up and offers you - what? They don’t even have stock! Even if they did, you’re exchanging a stake in something known for stake in an enterprise that have never made any cars, and when asked what kind of business plan they have they look shifty. No fucking way anyone will sell their stake for less than double what they have, especially if they find out the factory they’re selling is gonna produce machines that will kill us all.

Wow he looks even dorkier in video than in photos.

Yes the rationalists are an incredibly large market and their opinion can make or break an author, sure you betcha

Thanks for posting this, it was entertaining.

letthemfight.gif

“The CCP is worse than Hitler because at least Hitler was elected” is… a take

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MKS4tJqLWmRXgXzgY/why-should-i-assume-ccp-agi-is-worse-than-usg-agi-1?commentId=wLB2LFnJnHA8cJWuC

Gonna put that down to really really bad historical knowledge

“We convinced the dumbest people in the country that our made-up problems were real, and now we have a sad they took us seriously.”

“I no longer believe that effective altruism and democracy are compatible”.

Anywhoo, did not know the scaling of voting power to karma before. Interesting.

oh god has he spawned???

Shorter Moldbug: I am smarter than the framers of the US Constitution. Also, those traitors were wrong.

Kokotajlo is a new name to me. What’s his background? Prolific LW poster?

The preview image is … a choice

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TpSFoqoG2M5MAAesg/ai-2027-what-superintelligence-looks-like-1?commentId=9ckeRErTgPdGjKbXf

The obvious effort is to mark each temporal milestone, then post snarkily as each is missed

A markov chain is smarter than the current POTUS.

To be scrupulously fair there were multiple banners on LW announcing that prices would rise unless locked in early. NFC what they started at though, maybe $400?

Personally you would have to pay me $5,500 + room and board to force me to attend.

LOL from the comments

[…] “people having unreasonably high expectations for epistemics in published work” is definitely a cost of dealing with EAs!

Herostraticly renowned.

esprit d’escalier

this whole “superbabies will save us from AI” presupposes that the superbabies are immune to the pull of LW ideas. Just as LW are discounting global warming, fascism etc to focus on runaway AI, who says superbabies won’t have a similar problem? It’s just one step up the metaphorical ladder:

LW: “ugh normies don’t understand the x-risk of AI!”

Superbabies: “ugh our LW parents don’t understand the x-risk of Evangelion being actually, like, real!”

I got caught on that quote too…

Superbabies is a backup plan; focus the energy of humanity’s collective genetic endowment into a single generation, and have THAT generation to solve problems like “figure out how to control digital superintelligence”.

Science-fiction solutions for science-fiction problems!

Let’s see what the comments say!

Considering current human distributions and a lack of 160+ IQ people having written off sub-100 IQ populations as morally useless […]

Dude are you aware where you are posting.

Just hope it never happens, like nuke wars?

Yeah that’s what ran the Cold War, hopes and dreams. JFC I keep forgetting these are kids born long after 1989.

Could you do all the research on a boat in the ocean? Excuse the naive question.

No, please keep asking the naive questions, it’s what provides fodder for comments like this .

(regarding humans having “[F]ixed skull size” and can therefore a priori not compete with AI):

Artificial wombs may remove this bottleneck.

This points to another implied SF solution. It’s already postulated by these people that humans are not having enough babies, or rather the right kind of humans aren’t (wink wink). If we assume that they don’t adhere to the Platonic ideal that women are simply wombs and all traits are inherited from males, then to breed superbabies you need buy-in from the moms. Considering how hard it is for these people to have a normal conversation with the fairer sex, them both managing to convince a partner to have a baby and let some quack from El Salvador mess with its genes seems insurmountable. Artificial wombs will resolve this nicely. Just do a quick test at around puberty to determine the God-given IQ level of a female, then harvest her eggs and implant them into artificial wombs. The less intelligent ones can provide eggs for the “Beta” and “Gamma” models…

But you don’t go from a 160 IQ person with a lot of disagreeability and ambition, who ends up being a big commercial player or whatnot, to 195 IQ and suddenly get someone who just sits in their room for a decade and then speaks gibberish into a youtube livestream and everyone dies, or whatever.

These people are insane.