Well its not really a point worth addressing because in the act of you making it, you reveal yourself to not know at all what the fuck you are talking about.
By making that point, you out yourself as someone who should be ignored on the matter.
Yes, thats correct. I took the average of the polls, by state, for the previous 30 days prior to the date of the election. So not quite the beginning of October 2020.
Thats before you account for historic over/ under performance.
Subtract 4 from Bidens numbers and add 8 to Trumps for a more accurate view of real world performance.
How can there be a historic performance when they have only faced each other once before and there are so many variables to account for?
If you want to understand this, I recommend starting from the beginning: link
My point is that you can’t compare the two elections because they are far from identical
Well its not really a point worth addressing because in the act of you making it, you reveal yourself to not know at all what the fuck you are talking about.
By making that point, you out yourself as someone who should be ignored on the matter.
Looks like the datasets consist of every poll from October and November. Would love to see a time axis.
Yes, thats correct. I took the average of the polls, by state, for the previous 30 days prior to the date of the election. So not quite the beginning of October 2020.