The Arctic is likely to become “ice-free” by midcentury—and could pass that grim milestone much sooner—unless much more is done to combat climate change

The Arctic is likely to become “ice-free” by midcentury—and could pass that grim milestone much sooner unless much more is done to combat climate change

Well, good luck with that.

  • troed@fedia.io
    0·
    18 days ago

    To me? It’s what you find in IPCC AR6. You read the IPCC reports right?

    For stabilised global warming of 1.5°C, an approximately 1% chance of a given September being sea ice free at the end of century is projected; for stabilised warming at a 2°C increase, this rises to 10–35% (high confidence).

    • parrhesia@sh.itjust.works
      0·
      18 days ago

      Well I was asking you specifically since your comment made it seem like you didn’t think it could be possible. So I was just asking to see what what measure of “doomerism” in particular you followed cuz it all sounds pretty bad to me.

      • troed@fedia.io
        0·
        18 days ago

        My guess is that I’m the only person in this thread that reads the IPCC reports. “Maybe at the end of the century” is way different from “the next few years”.

        (PS: The IPCC also states that only half of the reduction of the ice is due to human emissions, so, don’t go buying property at sea level regardless of how well we do at stopping said emissions)