“Our hands are outstretched to any MLA that wants to work with us on [our] key priorities with just one bright line exception: we will not tolerate hate, discrimination, conspiracy theory garbage.”

  • BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca
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    3 months ago

    They won’t be able to address the cost of living issue.

    They can’t. The policy changes required are too painful for voters to accept.

    The easy fix to make cost of living cheaper is to crash the price of homes. Cheaper homes means cheaper labour (since people don’t need to make as much to rent/own) which in turn translates to cheaper everything produced by labour in this country. It makes our country more competitive globally too, though certain imports would be more expensive relative to percentage of income than they are now.

    The government could crash home prices in a half dozen different ways, but it means that existing home owners would lose almost all the value of their home, which they’ve been told their entire life is an investment. Some people would literally end up with no retirement funds because they were banking on their house getting them through the last few years. Almost everyone who bought in the last 10 years would end up with mortgages which are greater than the value of their home that they would still have to pay legally.

    We aren’t talking about a few thousand dollars here either, a single condo owner would lose multiple hundreds of thousands of dollars and some families would lose more than a million dollars on single family home. It would bankrupt almost every single landlord, even those people who just rent a suite and rely on it to pay the mortgage.

    I don’t think voters are willing to do that, given that close to 65% of Canadian homes are owned by the family that live in them, and home owners tend to vote more than non-owners.

    We’ve built a pyramid scheme on real estate, and far too many Canadians are invested in their home to want to let the system crumble. So we’re just fucking the next generation harder and harder until eventually we won’t have a choice.

    • Sonori@beehaw.org
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      3 months ago

      Ideally however, the government could however work to hold the price of homes relatively constant, and let inflation slowly bring them back into affordability. This would piss off everyone, but it would safely deflate the bubble without damaging people’s retirement too much.

      • BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca
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        3 months ago

        That wouldn’t really work well, I did the math a couple years back, and waiting for inflation to correct housing prices back to “affordable” based on the standard definition in Vancouver or Toronto would take almost a century.

        It’s better than nothing, but it wouldn’t significantly help anyone who’s struggling now, or really anyone who’s already been born. A new baby born tomorrow is looking for housing in 20ish years… And if rents stayed the same as they are today and wage inflation was fairly normal during thay period, minimum wage would be around $30 an hour or around $4000 a month full time and a one bedroom apartment in Vancouver or Toronto would still cost well over half their gross income.

        • Sonori@beehaw.org
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          3 months ago

          Hence why it’s important to build more public housing. My suggestion was just to keep the economic and rural housing problem from deteriorating, but if you want to house minimum wage workers in an dense urban area like like downtown Vancouver or Toronto, there is no viable alternative to government owned and operated apartments excepting maybe building new greenfield dense development connected to the urban cores by frequent rail.

          • BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca
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            3 months ago

            Can you show me a single place where buldinng public housing has kept prices affordable?

            Even Vienna and Singapore, the kings of public housing, still have expensive private housing and decade long waitlists.

            I’m not sure why people keep pushing public housing as sort of fix. Public housing is just a lottery for poor people, paid for by government taxes on everyone else. It doesn’t fix the problem at all.

            • Sonori@beehaw.org
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              3 months ago

              Council housing in Britain between the 50s and privatization, not only did the price of the entire market remain affordable because of the competition but the quality vastly improved given the need for any private developer to do better than the government with its massive economies of scale, near free land, and effectively no taxes on itself.

              If you have long waitlists, you by definition do not have enough public housing to meet demand, and need to make more. We wouldn’t say schools didn’t work because look, our town only has enough space in its public school to admit half the towns children, guess it’s just a lottery and we should shut it down.

              Real estate, building apartments, this is an immensely profitable industry, and its absurd to assume that it suddenly not only becomes unprofitable but is a massive tax burden just because the government is developing the land and not a billionaire doing near the same thing but walking away with an absurd profit skimmed off the top.

              At least not unless the government is so obsessed with the free market that it is just renting existing apartments instead of the normal method of developing a new complex with a bunch of apartments, using most as cheap public housing for people who need assistance and renting the rest out at market rate to cover the cost of the project.

              • BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca
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                3 months ago

                Vienna has something like 40% of all units as public housing, and decade waitlists where you have to already live in the city to be eligible to be on the lists. Singapore is closer to 90% and still has waitlists, requiring you to get married to get priority and even that can take a couple years.

                How exactly does your proposal somehow fix that situation?

                I’ve seen no situation in which building public housing of any amount becomes anything but a lottery for the poor, and here especially with all the land already privately owned it would be prohibitively expensive to get to even 10% public housing, let alone the larger amounts seen in some of these other places.

                No, the real answer lies with crashing house prices directly. It’s just a Band-Aid we’re going to have to rip off at some point, and it’s going to fucking hurt.

    • arrakark@10291998.xyz
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      3 months ago

      First of all, I agree with almost everything you have said. Trudeau has stated that he wants to keep the price of housing “flat”. I’m sure the NDP can also implement policies to do that if they wanted. Do you think that this is a way to get out of the pyramid scheme? I feel like just because we’ve built the scheme up a lot, it doesn’t mean all hope is lost

      • BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca
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        3 months ago

        The fix either has to be so slow “flat” that it takes longer than I have left to live, or it will be seriously damaging to the average family who owns their home.

        That’s more just about picking which generations to fuck over, than it is about anything else.

        Unfortunately voters tend to be selfish, so it’s most likely they choose to fuck over the future generations rather than themselves.

    • Hadouken Shoryuken@feddit.nl
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      3 months ago

      Well said. I think bringing the house price down will hurt not just owner as you said. It will hurt the government quite a bit. I remember a good chunk of Vancouver government revenue (to lazy to check the exact amount) is coming from property tax. And that is a percentage of the house price. They would have to cut lots of expenses if housing prices do go down. Which most voters won’t enjoy either.